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Registered Voter Polls More Accurate than Likely Voter Polls

Markos wrote up an encouraging post about poll accuracy and determined that actual vote results in the past couple of elections more closely matched the registered voter polls. Among registered voters,...

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The President Leads in Early Voting

Taegan: The latest Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll finds President Obama had a lead of 53% to 42% among the 17% of the surveyed registered voters who said they had already cast their vote. In the crucial...

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John Sununu is a Horrible, Wretched Man

On CNN’s Piers Morgan last night discussing Colin Powell’s endorsement of President Obama: Sununu: Well, I’m not sure how important that is. I do like the fact that Colin Powell’s boss, George Herbert...

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Romney’s One Debate Win vs. Obama’s Three Debate Wins

Nate Silver’s charts with my annotations: Question for the room: Why do you think Romney received such a massive bounce with one debate win, but the president received a much smaller bounce with three...

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Ohio, Ohio, Ohio

The president appears to be pulling away in Ohio again. And not a second too soon. As I mentioned on the podcast, the president can lose Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Colorado...

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Obama Nearly Regains Pre-First-Debate Poll Average

No, national poll averages aren’t as important as the state-by-state averages, other than as a predictor of the popular vote, but I thought it was worth noting that the president has almost entirely...

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Get Your Ass to the Polls…

…or else this will never happen: Dave Wissing notes that if final polls from The Economist/YouGov are correct, President Obama will win 303 electoral votes. The final Reuters/Ipsos polls suggest Obama...

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Former Romney Adviser Dan Senor Still Delusional

Dan Senor, one of Romney’s neocon foreign policy advisers, thinks there’s a “systemic” crisis with presidential polls. You know, because two or three of them were wrong. There’s “some kind of systemic...

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The Crazy Base Won’t Let the Republican Party Change

My Wednesday column and the crazy results of a new PPP poll: In the wake of the election, there’s no doubt that the Republican Party leadership is capable of making some adjustments to re-brand itself....

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Americans Are Frighteningly Clueless on the Deficit

I blame the media for the results of this poll showing that people don’t understand the fiscal cliff or the deficit. In my experience, they’re far more clueless on the deficit and don’t know the...

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Tea Party Support Falls to Record Low

And it was never all that huge in the first place — loud as hell, but not huge. The Republican Party made the mistake of confusing the two things. According to a new Rasmussen poll released Monday, the...

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Chris Christie: The Next Democratic President

Stop it, people. He’s not your friend! A new Public Policy Polling survey shows New Jersey Gov. Chris Chrisitie (R) is now actually more popular with Democrats nationally than he is with Republicans....

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Here’s Another Reason Why Gun Control Always Loses

The NRA controls the narrative. For example: A new Quinnipac poll finds that an astonishing 92% of Americans, including 89% of Republicans, support requiring a background check for all would be gun...

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Frustrating Poll of the Day

Ugh. A majority of voters believe President Obama has been no better than his immediate predecessor, President George W. Bush, when it comes to balancing national security with the protection of civil...

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Note to American People: Republicans Hold State Office, Too

Interesting results from the new Washington Post ABC News poll: Just 23% of Americans believe the Republican Party is “in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States today,” while 70%...

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Your Daily Bullshit from Rep. Steve Stockman (R-TX)

He tweeted this yesterday: Gallup polls released today: George W. Bush’s current approval rating, 49%.Barack Obama’s current approval rating, 47%. — Rep. Steve Stockman (@SteveWorks4You) June 11, 2013...

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Hubba-Hubba! Who Do You Trust?!

Based on the most recent poll on the NSA counter-terrorism program showing thin Democratic support and broad Republican opposition, it’s obvious that, yes, Republicans generally trust Republican...

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Five Reasons Why That ‘Obama is the Worst President’ Poll is Total Horseshit

Yesterday, The Daily Banter‘s Tommy Christopher covered a new Quinnipiac Poll showing that a plurality of Americans believe that President Obama is the worst president since World War II. At the risk...

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Guess What? No One Really Gives a Sh*t Whether Obama Plays Golf

Back in 2001, after spending nearly 30 days on vacation in Crawford, Texas, President Bush returned to Washington on the Friday before Labor Day, rather than on Labor Day itself. Why? Because he got...

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Note to American People: Republicans Hold State Office, Too

Interesting results from the new Washington Post ABC News poll: Just 23% of Americans believe the Republican Party is “in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States today,” while 70%...

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